simont: A picture of me in 2016 (Default)

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posted by [personal profile] simont at 08:33am on 06/05/2010
And my error, as best I can recall from the thoroughly non-rigorous estimation process I did in my head, was to underestimate the standard deviations by some way.
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ptc24: (Default)

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posted by [personal profile] ptc24 at 08:41am on 06/05/2010
Hmmm, surely underestimating the standard deviations would have given a higher probability, not a lower one? Do you mean overestimating the standard deviations, or underestimating the difference in means?
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simont: A picture of me in 2016 (Default)

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posted by [personal profile] simont at 08:42am on 06/05/2010
I mean (a) overestimating the standard deviations, and (b) that I should go back to bed.
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